Sunday, May 6, 2012

Defense Suppliers Compete for a Piece of India’s Multibillion-Dollar Military Revamp

The Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) is in talks with India for a $5.8 billion military aircraft deal as the country triples its defense budget, leading defense suppliers to compete for a piece of the multibillion-dollar action.

India is negotiating with Boeing over the purchase of 10 C-17 Globemaster III aircraft, which would be the largest defense order from India for Boeing, the second-largest U.S. defense contractor. India's Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said in February the government would spend $33 billion on defense in the fiscal year starting April 1.

The Asian country's "defense procurement budget is quite huge," Laxman Kumar Behera, a research fellow at the Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses in New Delhi, told Bloomberg. "The U.S. arms industry has become quite interested in the Indian defense market."

Boeing expects to bid for as much as $31 billion of military contracts in the next 10 years as India looks to replace aging Russian-made equipment.

"We've had a long-standing relationship with Russia. But that's changing now," Sitanshu Kar, a spokesman for India's Ministry of Defence, told The Washington Post last year.

U.S. President Barack Obama is slated to visit India early next month and will discuss securing more defense deals that - with the Boeing contract - could total $10 billion to $12 billion.

Boeing is targeting international contracts to counteract a slowdown in U.S. defense spending, and India's relationship with American defense suppliers has tightened over the past couple years.

"There's been increasing cooperation between India and the United States from both the defense side and security side," said Mark Kronenberg, vice president of business development at Boeing. "More importantly, from the Boeing perspective, it's not just about increased presence on the military side - we've always had a strong commercial presence here - we think with Indian suppliers and partnerships we can be here for a long time to come."

A closer business relationship with India could also open the door to Boeing benefiting from India's growing air travel demand. Earlier this month the chief executive officer of Boeing rival Airbus SAS said he expects India's aircraft need to climb over the next couple decades.

"Our market forecast is usually quite conservative but we should expect at least an additional 1,000 in the next 20 years here in India," Airbus CEO Tom Enders told a media briefing. "India next to China is one of the big growth hubs for the aviation industry."

Other U.S. companies hoping to cash in on India's multibillion-dollar defense spending are General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE), defense contractor Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC) and Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), the world's biggest arms supplier. The companies have been wooing India since last year when the country signaled a shift from Russian suppliers.

But U.S. companies will face competition from global counterparts, like Moscow-based United Aircraft Corp., France's Dassault Aviation SA (EPA: AM) and European Aeronautic Defense and Space Company (EADS).

Suppliers who usually rely on U.K. defense spending are turning to India for business as the U.K. coalition government is expected to announce defense-spending cuts on Tuesday. The British media has reported that the Royal Air Force may lose some aircraft orders and U.K. defense suppliers could see their operating margins fall in coming years. France and Germany will also be reviewing their budgets to trim expenses, putting more strain on suppliers.

While India's growing economy has attracts more foreign investment each year, some companies are frustrated with the strict government regulation that limits foreign involvement in sectors such as technology and energy. President Obama is expected to address concerns over market access during next month's meeting with Indian officials, especially in regards to a recently passed Indian law that exposes nuclear technology firms to accident liability.

"We will not be able to support nuclear programs in countries where the nuclear liability regime is not consistent with international norms," Michael Tetuan, a spokesman for GE, told The Wall Street Journal.

These kinds of laws turn some businesses off from dealing with India, which some say has used its attraction of having incredibly high economic growth to control business and investment negotiations.

"India's pretty cocky right now," Charles Maddox, a professor of corporate law at the Jindal Global Law School outside New Delhi, told The Journal. "They're playing a brinksmanship game with the United States."

But experts say the progress made with U.S.- India relations marks a dramatic improvement from prior decades and is sure to continue.

"In any relationship where you have growing commercial activity, you're going to have challenges and disagreements," Francisco Sanchez, U.S. undersecretary of commerce for international trade, said in a recent interview. "But the advancement over the last 20 years has been significant. We need to keep plugging away."

Saturday, May 5, 2012

The Big Case for Small-Cap Stocks

The market is "risk-on" and investment strategists are shifting their focus to small-cap stocks, reports CBS News.
"U.S. small-cap stocks are the best long-term investment idea in the entire global equity market this year," says Richard Bernstein, CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisors." A new report from UBS agrees.
The case being made is that while yes, small-cap stock offer higher risk, lower liquidity, and lower market value than large cap stocks, their potential rewards are also more significant.
After a weak performance in 2011 UBS says small caps can offer "superior long-term return potential," adding that given current valuations, "the timing for investment could be fortuitous."
According to CBS News, UBS says small caps have performed better than large caps in the long term (tracked over many decades). There is also more opportunity to add value "since markets are less efficient and small companies have the potential to grow faster." Furthermore, smaller companies are "easier to understand."
Business section: Investing ideasUBS seems to think small caps have a strong role in the balanced portfolio.
If you're interested in researching small-cap companies for your portfolio, we want to provide you with a starting point.
To find some interesting prospects, we created a universe of small-cap stocks with market caps between $100 and $300 million. To make sure our list is comprised of relatively liquid stocks, we took the top 150 with the greatest trading volume.
We then screened these stocks with high ratios of levered free cash flow/enterprise value (LFCF/EV).
Levered free cash flow is the free cash flow after deducting interest payments on outstanding debt. Enterprise value is the sum of the firm's value from all ownership sources: market cap, outstanding debt, and preferred shares.
Companies with high ratios of levered free cash flow/enterprise value may be undervalued by the market.
So, do you think these small-cap companies should be trading higher? (Click here to access free, interactive tools to analyze these ideas.)
1. Gentiva Health Services: Provides home health services and hospice care in the United States. Market cap at $226.54. Levered free cash flow at $112.85M vs. enterprise value at $1.04B (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 10.85%).
2. Willbros Group (NYSE: WG  ) : Provides engineering, procurement, and construction services to the oil and gas, refinery, petrochemical, and power industries primarily in the United States, Canada, and Oman. Market cap at $226.24. Levered free cash flow at $64.11M vs. enterprise value at $472.28M (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 13.57%).
3. Obagi Medical Product: Develops and markets topical aesthetic and therapeutic prescription skin care systems. Market cap at $207.02. Levered free cash flow at $25.13M vs. enterprise value at $185.62M (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 13.54%).
4. Anadigics (Nasdaq: ANAD  ) : Provides semiconductor solutions to the broadband wireless and wireline communications markets. Market cap at $202.46. Levered free cash flow at $15.28M vs. enterprise value at $140.96M (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 10.84%).
5. FuelCell Energy (Nasdaq: FCEL  ) : Engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of high temperature fuel cells for clean electric power generation primarily in South Korea, the United States, Germany, Canada, and Japan. Market cap at $168.78. Levered free cash flow at $14.57M vs. enterprise value at $134.95M (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 10.8%).
6. Excel Maritime Carriers (NYSE: EXM  ) : Provides sea borne dry bulk cargo transportation services worldwide. Market cap at $160.9. Levered free cash flow at $291.38M vs. enterprise value at $1.18B (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 24.69%).
7. Majesco Entertainment (Nasdaq: COOL  ) : Provides interactive entertainment products primarily in the United States and Europe. Market cap at $107.87. Levered free cash flow at $14.35M vs. enterprise value at $96.28M (implies a LFCF/EV ratio at 14.9%).
Interactive Chart: Press Play to compare changes in analyst ratings over the last two years for the stocks mentioned above. Analyst ratings sourced from Zacks Investment Research.

Kapitall's Rebecca Lipman does not own any of the shares mentioned above. Data sourced from Yahoo! Finance

Friday, May 4, 2012

Best Wall St. Stocks Today: C,WFC

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) earnings are a bit different this morning. Today looks like a prime example of “the good bank versus the bad bank.”

Citigroup reported that earnings fell 11% and its earnings came in at $0.38 EPS versus estimates of $0.49 EPS.? Keep in mind that many bank earnings expectations had been cratering in the weeks prior to the actual news. Still, the figures
were short. The “bad bank” asset unit of Citi?Holdings managed a narrower loss of -$806 million versus a loss at -$1.02 billion in the fourth quarter of 2010. There is some good news this morning.? That makes two profitable years now for Citi.?

Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), now the healthiest of earners in the ‘new bank operating environment,’ managed to show a 20% earnings gain of 20% to $4.11 billion.? The boost was said to be from gains related to mortgage financing, but the translation was $0.73 EPS versus estimates of $0.72 EPS.? The loan loss provision was down again, close to $2 billion from $3 billion a year earlier.

Citigroup shares are indicated down over 4% at $29.45 in pre-market trading.? Citi’s 52-week range is $21.40 to $49.60 and shares were up over 15% year to date.? The bank reported book value of $60.78 and a tangible book value of $49.81.

Wells Fargo was negative at first but shares are now up 0.9% at $29.88 in the pre-market.? Its 52-week range is $22.58 to $34.25 and its stated book value was $24.64.?

JON C. OGG

Friday, April 27, 2012

Best Wall St. Stocks Today: SIRI

SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) was seeing an elevated bit of options and stock trading yesterday and the shares are performing well again today.� Today’s performance is from Lazard Capital Markets reiterating its “Buy” rating after SIRIUS raised its internal subscriber targets last week.� There is another far less optimistic call on SIRIUS XM today from BreakingViews that was shown on CNBC, but so far the bulls are winning.
Lazard reiterated the BUY rati
ng and $1.35 target on the stock, but also followed SIRIUS XM’s lead with higher subscriber counts.� The new subscriber counts are put at about 1.383 million and ending the quarter with more than 20.15 million subscribers.� One other issue helping out: higher car sales.� There is some caution here though and that is in the form of higher subscriber acquisition costs.
The cautionary view came from Rob Cox of BreakingViews on CNBC today.� The primary concern revolved more around the free Pandora internet radio that smartphones can now stream as free competition.� Cox did note that SIRIUS XM does have it mojo back and the stock is now nearly worth $5 billion.� Cox noted that Slacker and Pandora are both making inroads and a new synch technology could pose a threat down the road and they play more than just music.
The Lazard call is helping, but at $1.30, that only leaves another $0.05 until the price target objective is met.� Even other price target objectives of $1.50 are now getting closer and closer.� At some point valuation has to come into play because buying SIRIUS for a $0.05 gain to $0.20 gain is now an inverted risk-reward matrix for investors… unless price targets get boosted further.
SIRIUS XM is hitting yet another 52-week high today as shares hit $1.30.� At 1:30 PM EST we have also seen more than 63 million shares trade hands versus an average volume of about 71 million shares.
JON C. OGG

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Baidu Rising on Q4 Beat, Higher Q1 View

Chinese search engine operator Baidu (BIDU) this afternoon reported Q4 revenue and profit per share ahead of expectations and forecast this quarter’s revenue ahead of expectations.
Revenue in the three months ended in December rose to $710.9 million, yielding EPS of 93 cents.
Analysts had been modeling $708 million and EPS of 91 cents.
For the current quarter, the company sees revenue in a range of $667 million to $688 million, ahead of the $670 million average estimate.
Shares of Baidu have been volatile in after-hours trading, falling $3.25, or almost 3%, to $138.58 right after the results, but periodically lapsing back into the green.
Update: The stock is now trading up by $3.67, or 2.6%, at $145.50.
Fin.

Best Wall St. Stocks Today:

It is a devilishly clever way for a company with flagging revenue to raise sales. Cheat customers by double charging them.
According to several media outlets,�as many as�one million Starbucks customers were charged twice what they should have been on May 22nd and 23rd. It would be good�for shareholders if Starbucks hangs on to the cash. But, the chain says it will pay the money back.
Starbucks, which once
boasted that it would have 40,000 stores worldwide, is having trouble making money�with the ones it operates now, even though it has closed hundreds of them and laid off thousands of people
Starbucks has tried to improve traffic to its stores with inexpensive instant coffee and value meals for breakfast. The margins on these products may be so low that double-billing is the only way to move up earnings.
The other option to improve operating margins would be for founder Howard Schultz to work for $1 a year. He is already a multi-millionaire who now has a reputation�as�a person who is in�favor of�mass lay-offs. It would be too bad if�his company�has now chosen to increase sales by double-billing, even if it is by mistake
Douglas A. McIntyre

Monday, April 23, 2012

(SUPG, GRHU, NHPR, EWBC, BPFH) Stock Report by DrStockPick.com

SuperGen, Inc. (Nasdaq:SUPG) announced that James S.J. Manuso, Ph.D., president and chief executive officer, will present at Future Leaders in the Biotech Industry 2011 on Friday, April 15th in New York. SuperGen’s presentation will begin at 9:00 a.m. ET. A live webcast of the presentation will be available in the Investor Events section of the Company’s website at www.supergen.com. The webcast will be archived for 30 days.
Supergen, Inc., a pharmaceutical company, primarily engages in the discovery and development of therapies to treat patients with cancer.
GreenHouse Holdings, Inc. (GRHU)

GreenHouse Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of energy efficiency and sustainable facilities solutions. The company designs, engineers and installs disparate products and technologies that enable its clients to reduce their energy costs and carbon footprint.
Solar Photovoltaic (PV) systems are different from Solar Hot Water systems in that they generate electricity when exposed to the sun instead of heating the water.
In the interconnected case, PV systems produce energy from the panels during the sunny days and provide this energy to the house, but if more energy is needed than is currently being produced, grid supplies the difference. If the PV system produces more than needed, surplus is then fed back into the grid, often for a benefit to the home owner. In battery-based systems, there is no backup of the grid and all energy that is produced is used or stored in the batteries for later use.
GreenHouse offers Solar PV systems with state of the art Micro-Inverters that maximize the harvest of available sunlight, can now triple the R.O.I. as compared to traditional single inverter systems.
Solar Photovoltaic Systems consist of few key components: solar photovoltaic panels, inverter, battery chargers and batteries (if off-grid installation), PV combiner boxes, DC array disconnect, wiring, and panel moun! ting rac ks.
Target markets for GreenHouse’s energy efficiency solutions include residential, commercial and industrial, as well as government and military markets. In addition, the company develops designs and constructs rapidly deployable, sustainable facilities primarily for use in disaster relief and security in austere regions.
Mr. Robinson, a founder of GreenHouse Holdings, Inc. recently appeared for an interview on Fox Business’ America’s Nightly Scoreboard Friday April 1st, at 9PM. Mr. Robinson, is a globally recognized expert in terrorism and national security, provided expert insight into the likelihood and feasibility of future terrorist attacks perpetrated or financially backed by the Lybian dictator Muammar al-Qaddafi. His over 30 years experience in Special Forces, Special Mission Units, and the Central Intelligence Agency helps provide GreenHouse Holdings with invaluable global “on the ground” expertise with respect to their energy efficiency and sustainable solutions business.
For more information about GreenHouse Holdings, Inc. Visit its website:www.greenhouseintl.com
National Health Partners, Inc. (NHPR)
National Health Partners, Inc. is a national healthcare savings organization that provides discount healthcare membership programs to uninsured and underinsured people through a national healthcare savings network called “CARExpress.” CARExpress is one of the largest networks of hospitals, doctors, dentists, pharmacists and other healthcare providers in the country and is comprised of over 1,000,000 medical professionals that belong to such PPOs as CareMark and Aetna.
Health insurance should not cover basic or routine medical services, but instead should cover major illnesses, surgeries, etc. Moreover, the government should require that healthcare providers charge all patients the same fees for out-of-pocket medical procedures (insurance companies and the government should be free to ! negotiat e discounted prices for the services for which they directly pay, but these preferred rates would not apply to the services paid out-of-pocket by their members). This would bring normal, competitive market forces to bear on the provision of routine medical services. Insurance would then provide (as it is properly intended) coverage against significant and expensive maladies.
National Health Partners Inc recently announced that it has signed a new agreement with a major marketing company that will significantly enhance the growth of its CARExpress membership base.
According to the Company, this deal, in combination with the previous partnership with Xpress Healthcare, will enable the company to build its membership base exponentially, initially generating in excess of an additional 2,000 new members per month. The new campaign is set to launch within the next few weeks and will provide a material positive impact on the company’s 2nd quarter sales.
National Health Partners anticipate that this new marketing agreement will provide a major impact on their overall sales not only for the 2nd quarter, but more importantly for the year. They look forward to building on the profits that they anticipate generating in 2011 that will be driven by substantial growth in sales of their CARExpress health discount programs. The combination of their substantial growth with their low price-to-equity ratio should reflect itself in the price of their stock over the coming months.
For more information about National Health Partners, Inc visit its website www.nationalhealthpartners.com
East West Bancorp (Nasdaq:EWBC) will discuss first quarter 2011 earnings with the public on Wednesday, April 27, 2011 at 8:30 A.M. PT/ 11:30 A.M. ET via the Company’s live quarterly earnings conference call. The public and investment community are invited to listen as management discusses first quarter results and operating developments. Information f! or the c onference call and replay is provided on the Investor Relations page at www.eastwestbank.com. The following dial-in information is provided for participation in the conference call: Local call within the US - (877) 317-6789; Call within Canada - (866) 605-3852; International call - (412) 317-6789.
East West Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for East West Bank, which provides a range of personal and commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, business executives, professionals, and other individuals in California.
Boston Private Financial Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BPFH) will report first quarter financial results after market close on Tuesday, April 26, 2011. Management will hold a conference call at 8 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, April 27, to discuss the financial results in more detail. To access the call: Dial In #: (866) 843-0890. International Dial In #: (412) 317-9250. Elite Entry Number: 0128082. Replay Information: Available from Apr. 27 at 10 a.m. to May 5. Dial In #: (877) 344-7529. International Dial In (412) 317-0088. Conference Number: 450199. The call will be simultaneously webcast and may be accessed on www.bostonprivate.com.
Boston Private Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the multi-bank holding company in the United States. The company provides private banking, investment management, and wealth advisory services to high net worth individuals, families, small and medium-sized businesses, and institutions.